Mass Confusion Over Mass Transit
HEADLINE: Mass confusion about mass transit
SOURCE: Scripps Howard News Service
BYLINE: WENDELL COX
BODY: To hear the American Public Transportation Association folks tout
their latest report on ridership, you half expect to see shells of
abandoned cars rotting on every street corner.
Americans have spurned their cars in favor of mass transit, the
association tells us. Mass transit has reversed a 70-year trend of losing
market share.
Ridership climbed 3.5 percent nationally in 1999 to 9.4 billion trips. In
contrast, highway use increased only about .05 percent to 2.7 trillion
miles, according to the Federal Highway Administration.
"These figures show that a decades-old trend of declining transit and
increasing driving has been reversed," Roy Kienitz, executive director of
the Surface Transportation Policy Project, told The Washington Post.
Yes, national transit use has grown 19 percent since its quarter-century
low point in the mid-1990s. And any minute now, city and state governments
will begin to line up to request more money from the federal government
for mass transit.
But before we dole out millions more on buses and trains - and requests
are quite likely to come in after these numbers sink in - let's remember
that, even now, mass transit carries only about 2 percent of the commuters
in urban areas. And the overall numbers are skewed by the fact that 40
percent of the nation's transit use takes place in the New York City area
- more than the next 12 cities in transit use combined. Most of the
increase came there. Indeed, outside New York, growth remains microscopic
and ridership still has not reached 1990 levels. And the increase in New
York City owes more to the city becoming safer and more prosperous than
any socially engineered move from cars to transit.
Newly released census data show New York gained more population than in
any decade since the 1920s - more than double that of any other city - and
surpassed the 8 million mark for the first time.
Moreover, no other city comes close to New York in terms of population
densities and job concentration - two key factors that propel transit use.
What happened in New York simply can't happen elsewhere. And just as New
York's situation can't be replicated, neither can its jump in ridership.
Even the exceptions, such as Portland, Ore., serve mainly to prove the
rule. Transit ridership has climbed nearly 40 percent in Portland since
1993, but even there, 95 percent of new travel has been by automobile.
Recently released data shows that there has been little change over the
last decade in the percentage of people riding transit to work. And
Portland's policy of promoting mass transit over highways and of
concentrating development near mass transit hubs has created some of the
worst traffic congestion in the nation.
The association's figures probably represent only a brief respite from the
pattern of decline in transit's market share. Other modes of
transportation also have experienced record use as the country continued
along its longest-ever peacetime economic expansion. In other words, this
is no time to plunder the treasury to finance more mass transit projects.
And even this latest respite isn't much to brag about. Transit ridership
has hovered in a narrow range for 40 years, a period during which the
American population has grown by about 100 million. And its share of the
urban travel market has fallen from 7.1 percent in 1960 to 1.8 percent
today.
Even today, more than 90 percent of American jobs aren't served by
convenient transit service. Car trips - even on congested highways -
remain quicker than transit use.
Despite subsidies that now approach $20 billion per year, America's
monopolistic, publicly owned transit systems only recently have stopped
losing riders in significant numbers. They still fail to support
themselves or bring any meaningful relief to highway congestion. They
remain slower, more expensive, less convenient and less efficient than
virtually all other forms of transportation.
So when you hear reports that mass transit has taken the country by storm
yet fail to see any improvement in traffic, believe your eyes, not the
hype.
(Wendell Cox, principal of the Wendell Cox Consultancy in St. Louis, is a
visiting fellow at The Heritage Foundation (www.heritage.org), a
Washington-based public policy research institute.)
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