Cincinnati Light Rail: Transit Access to be Worse in 2030
According to OKI

According to OKI's "2030 Report," only 35 percent of the Cincinnati area was served by transit in 1995, and 59 percent of jobs. This means that the overall transit access index was approximately 20 percent (35 percent times 59 percent).

By 2030, OKI projects that less than 26 percent of the people in the area and 45 percent of the jobs will be served by transit, in both cases more than a 20 percent reduction from the 1995 situation. This calculates to an 11.6 percent transit access index.

Light rail would only marginally improve the situation, with transit service being available to only 28 percent of the population and 48 percent of the jobs. The overall transit access index would be 13.2 percent, which is more than one-third below the 1995 figure.

Line # Description 1995 2030: No LIght Rail 2030: With Light Rail
         
1 Population 1,837,250 2,331,300 2,331,300
2 Population Served by Transit 639,047 597,168 641,303
3 Population Transit Access Index 34.8% 25.6% 27.5%
  Change from 1995   -26.4% -20.9%
  Compared to 2030 No Light Rail     7.4%
         
4 Employment (Number of Jobs) 890,298 1,176,900 1,176,900
5 Jobs Served by Transit 518,700 531,613 563,592
6 Employment: Transit Access 58.3% 45.2% 47.9%
  Change from 1995   -22.5% -17.8%
  Compared to 2030 No Light Rail     6.0%
         
7 Overall Transit Access Index (Line 5 x Line 6) 20.3% 11.6% 13.2%
  Change from 1995   -42.9% -35.0%
  Compared to 2030 No Light Rail     13.9%
         
Calculated from data in OKI "2030 Plan", Tables 5-1, 5-13 and 16-5.    
1995 Jobs estimated using 1990 Population:Jobs ratio.      

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