Cincinnati Light Rail: Transit Access to be Worse in 2030
According to OKI
According to OKI's "2030 Report," only 35 percent of the Cincinnati area was served by transit in 1995, and 59 percent of jobs. This means that the overall transit access index was approximately 20 percent (35 percent times 59 percent).
By 2030, OKI projects that less than 26 percent of the people in the area and 45 percent of the jobs will be served by transit, in both cases more than a 20 percent reduction from the 1995 situation. This calculates to an 11.6 percent transit access index.
Light rail would only marginally improve the situation, with transit service being available to only 28 percent of the population and 48 percent of the jobs. The overall transit access index would be 13.2 percent, which is more than one-third below the 1995 figure.
Line # |
Description |
1995 |
2030: No LIght Rail |
2030: With Light Rail |
|
|
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1 |
Population |
1,837,250 |
2,331,300 |
2,331,300 |
2 |
Population Served by Transit |
639,047 |
597,168 |
641,303 |
3 |
Population Transit Access Index |
34.8% |
25.6% |
27.5% |
|
Change from 1995 |
|
-26.4% |
-20.9% |
|
Compared to 2030 No Light Rail |
|
|
7.4% |
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|
|
|
|
4 |
Employment (Number of Jobs) |
890,298 |
1,176,900 |
1,176,900 |
5 |
Jobs Served by Transit |
518,700 |
531,613 |
563,592 |
6 |
Employment: Transit Access |
58.3% |
45.2% |
47.9% |
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Change from 1995 |
|
-22.5% |
-17.8% |
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Compared to 2030 No Light Rail |
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6.0% |
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7 |
Overall Transit Access Index (Line 5 x Line 6) |
20.3% |
11.6% |
13.2% |
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Change from 1995 |
|
-42.9% |
-35.0% |
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Compared to 2030 No Light Rail |
|
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13.9% |
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Calculated from data in OKI "2030 Plan", Tables 5-1, 5-13 and 16-5. |
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1995 Jobs estimated using 1990 Population:Jobs ratio. |
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